Note: I am in no case an expert in the field nor do i use TA to make my trades (maybe to some smaller degree).
You can, but i simply pulled a chart from Yahoo finance, if you take Tradingview or similar you will have a better owerview (less overlap on the candles).
You can chart longterm lines, but as you said it depends where you start or what you include.
TA - Oversimplified:
Basically you look at the cart and identify where did people sell and where did people buy.
Once you found this (and everyone else). With that information we can guess where the price will move, since everyone is doing it the trades get âfront runâ.
Say VT had a pullback at 90, but has been bought again at 82, there is a bit chance that next time we go near those numbers we drop/rise. So you set your orders to sell at 88 and buy at 84. This creates the patterns that we see.
Also psychologically if you, say bought lots of VT at 60, are inclined to double down if it reaches that range again. We can identify where lots of stocks changed hands and we can assume that buyer will step up and buy again at those levels.
Not exactly specific to your question, but in this article it discusses Real Estate Bewertungen and Interest Rate sensitivity of one company.
The leverage effect is ⊠somehow huge.
The stock is down almost 40% YTD.
âbei einem Anstieg des zur Bewertung verwendeten Diskontsatzes um 0,4 Prozentpunkte das Portfolio von Peach Property 260 Millionen Franken an Wert verlieren wĂŒrde. Das entspricht gut 10 Prozent des Gesamtwerts des knapp 2,7 Milliarden Franken schweren Portfolios.â
Regarding support⊠Yes, some people will base their investment on the (âsunk costsâ) previous prices they paid for their investments. Big professional investors though? Probably not. Some of them may be leveraged enough that a violation of âsupportâ may require them liquidate - does that affect the overall longterm market? Probably not, unless theyâre big enough to endanger the working of the whole financial system.
Could âsupportâ levels signal something about the state of the market or investor confidence? Maybe. in the short terms. Few weeks or even few months, as early indicators of change of sentiment.
Over the long term though? I donât think investors base their decisions on support levels froms years ago in a meaningful way. Same is true for âŠ
âŠthe black line, which (literally) just joins two points on a chart, about 10 years in time between them.
I donât believe itâs meaningful at all.
That said, Iâm not saying youâre wrong on us âtestingâ it within a couple of months.
Itâs more a figure of speech, since thereâs no observable mean.
But what we can observe is a long-term upward trend for stock indices - and this yeaâs downturn doesnât look anything special or exceptional from that trend. It rather seems to confirm it, by approaching the long-term curve.
For me global stock markets turned bearish (yellow to blue) in January with no end in sight.
I sold 40% and will redeploy back into stocks when the trend turns back up again, probably still 6-12 months out considering the crazy drops and panic right now
If you donât believe that itâs possible to identify trends that outperform the markets, resp. donât believe that there are methods to identify up- and down trends I guess DCAing blindly into the broad market and totally ignoring everything else is the best strategy. It surely has psychological advantages.
I observe the markets pretty close and leverage during uptrends and reduce my exposure during down trends. Therefore I never buy the dip or dca into a down trend but instead wait for a trend reversal. Iâll never get the bottom perfectly, just as I never sell the perfect top, always a bit later when the trend has confirmed. But not having to hodl all the way down safes me from the big losses and sleepless nights.
I am happy with my results over the last few years and am pretty confident I will be this year as well. Maybe we get a crazy V shaped recovery Iâll kick myself for not being in the market 100%. We shall seeâŠ
Heard this before and itâs just wrong. I think most people here have a very long time horizon and understand the basics of the financial system but not much more. For this kind of group it has been statistically proven to be the most effective strategy for maximum profit to just buy passive ETFs with a DCA strategy and you will be rich in x years. Does this guarantee us returns in the future? No itâs not guaranteed but itâs the best strategy we have at our hands right now which definitely doesnât mean anything else is a scam. But as a person in this group you certainly donât want to bet against the market and try to think that you know more than the market.
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