Mechanical investment strategies

the thing that makes me be careful with tobacco is that the current generation seems to be getting healthier. drinking less. etc. so i do wonder if revenues/profits will rapidly decline at some point.

1 Like

I see children with those plastic sucks and they are probably even legal in Switzerland. Gateway drug.

No, thanks for smoking


This year my cash flow from market dividends is almost 3 times the regular dividends. And market dividends are free of tax


MO is on buy, but is too big to buy more at the moment. I only add to positions that are less than 4% of my portfolio.

Trigger warning:

Are you quoting from a 1980 aerobic commercial shot on a California beach starring Olivia Newton John? Once a secret idol of mine even as I probably didn’t even know her name or so, but maybe heard a song and saw a picture in (physical, i.e. printed) Bravo magazine at one of my friends who were allowed to read/own the publication.

When I was a teenager in mid 1980’s we would be forced in (public) school to see in 8th or 9th grade anti smoking campaign videos featuring one of the Marlboro men giving interviews with a throat microphone (as obviously he got sick with larygeal cancer).

Hat tip to the school authorities at the time as it definitely worked with me never wanting to smoke (because of those videos). Not that I expect to live any longer because I don’t smoke, but I’m still kind of glad.

Yeah, and about that current generation 
 I wonder if you’ll change your mind once your kids enter teenage territory. I was kind of surprised how many of my son’s friends smoke, vape, etc.

Perhaps the revenue from LVMH has been declining, but from what I personally observe these kids absolutely want to consume their shit. Maybe it’s not Hennessy, but they’ll have their vape.

See MO’s earnings curve above.

Q.E.D. :wink:

:laughing: I liked the 70’s or 80’s feeling of the trailer I clicked into.

But to be clear: I would actually prefer people to not consume products that advance their likelihood of death (not just for selfish reasons like them being able to contribute to my pension and AHV for longer. Or, wait, should I be interested in them perishing earlier so they won’t be beneficiaries of AHV 
? Anyway 
)
I more strongly believe these people should have the choice to do whatever they like including deciding what they consume.
I have my opinion on how smart that is, but who am I to pass any judgement.

Yep, same boat.

1 Like

I wonder how much of the younger generation smoking less is also different per countries. While I have no clue about generational development, my impression is that people in Switzerland smoke a lot, compared to e.g. Anglo-Saxon countries.

1 Like

no worry
 my friends and I are compensating them by large


1 Like

I may be wrong, but MO went down a lot when they said to go out of the cigarettes market. Don’t know by when, but seems that all the youngsters now suck on MO’s overpriced plastic sucks. Children first without and later with all the addicting drugs


You mean “Phyyysical, phyyysical”
:smiley:

I was wondering why you have the whole column “from MAX” in red. It’s just frightening. That column should be in the minus by design :slight_smile: Or not? Mt is in green. Then I don’t understand it :confused:

1 Like

But isn’t the earnings growth through price increases on declining volumes? This is not a sustainable model, as there is a limit to how much you can increase prices on your current addicted customers and anyway you are literally killing your current customers, so you need newer generations to take up smoking.

I think the googlefinance function “high” does not include the actual day for the high. So, if it is green it is at a new high. Had to get used to that too


With the actual day included it should be red all the times


Checking
 yes, it is at a high:

1 Like

Just checked the formula: I add the dividend to the actual value, but not to the high. Not exactly fair. I don’t use that number in my formulas, it is just for info/fun. But it means the number can stay green even if the price is slightly under the high.

It did really reach the 500% and I wondered why the captain did not make me take some of that money. Went down quiet some since then.

Results that it is still on buy, even I bought a double position already. Whenever I really need to buy and find no other company
 there I go for the triple!

And sorry, Oil stocks are that easy. Whenever a new “landman season” starts, prices go up.

And I’m doing quiet well as an Oil Sheikh. The XIRR (which doesn’t mean much after only such a short time) for those stocks:

BORR: 3560%
HP: 811%
NBR: 131%
CVI: 81%
PBF: 43%
OIS: 23%
VIST: 75% (that is the only real one, because it is already in my possession for 51 months).

Just some funny numbers, I’m back in Switzerland and sitting over the fog in the sun. XIRR only makes sense after some years, I don’t expect the oil stocks doing that well for a very long time. We will see


3 Likes