Coronavirus: when do we reach the bottom of the dip?

Investing / Others
1046

So you can buy from the people panicking.
Why would they be suspended?

1 Like
1047

I think it happens sometimes for single Companies? to stop irrational buying / selling? something like this? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trading_halt

1048

US Futures are currently halted. There are different rules for different markets indeed. But seriously, we are only retesting Thursdays levels. I’d start worrying if we crash well below those.

1049

But why do you want them suspended? There’s a major crisis, people are still figuring out the impact, suspending the market won’t change that fact.

1051

My hunch is that we will go another 20-30% starting from the sunday levels.

Also I can really recommend this: https://twitter.com/RemiGMI/

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1052

Roche can be a good bet, new rapid test and Actemra seems to help recover more quickly.
Moreover, the stock was performing very well and lost, because of the panic selling, 20-30%.
Of course, if you want to stock pick
 I will continue with indexing. My only dilemma is if I should continue investing monthly or wait and see what the next 2-3 months bring (I really think the bottom is jet to come, we still have to experience the impact in US)

1053

You already have Roche stocks in VIAC with the SMI indexfund.

Stock picking was a bad idea in the past and remains a bad idea now.

1054

the bottom seems far


1055

How do you calculate that?

1056

I am just observing my ETF’s going down almost 10%, I don’t claim to calculate anything

1057

Can’t wait to invest my whole pension fund in May/Juni with VIAC :smiley:

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1059

To any amateur stock-pickers: I’m binge-watching Ben Felix series on YouTube and in one video he quotes an interesting statistic, that 95% of stocks in an index are underperforming it. In fact, the majority even have negative absolute return. The indexes are pulled by 5% of companies. And, each decade/period, these are different companies. So if you just make a random guess, you have only 5% chance of picking better than the index. And then you have to periodically choose new winners over and over again.

7 Likes
1060

tztztzz you should probably be working from home and not watching youtube from home :wink:

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1061

May
 June
 July
 Sounds like market timing :wink: 


1062

Why will you invest in May? What’s your thoughts around that.

1063

“unfortunately” for me, I am sitting on a rather large pile of cash which I saved exactly for this occasion (i.e., when markets drop, buy more). Now I need to decide when and how to deploy it, while working from home and taking care of the children at the same time


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1064

Wow. TUI @ year 1998 levels. This is tempting

1065

Just wait and watch! For the moment we have no information on how the bond bubble is deflating. And when the bond market is coughing, the stock market catches the flu!

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1066

Changing employers by end of April and transfering my pension fund to Viac.

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1067

The 1998 level could also mean that it’s close to bankruptcy. In this case you’ll lose everything.

2 Likes