Looking at these graphs, I would say that the market is holding up pretty well comparing to the past.
Famous last words 
The latest:
1 Like
Why not sell the gold to buy TRUMP coins?
6 Likes
No, Iâd have to do the unthinkable and invest in real estate in the country Iâd have chosen to live in. Edit: seems there is consensus among the posters in this thread that if forced to invest in a single place in the world theyâd choose their back yard over anywhere else, which makes perfect logical sense.
@dbu did we miss the dip you reckon? 
Yeah, how the actual F is this legal? And how does nobody speak up about fair play, meritocracyâŠfreedom?
1 Like
Iâm not sure Iâve chosen a country to live in yet.
Because most folks have realised that if they speak up; their job, business or freedom will be curtailed. So it might be best to cut a deal rather than fight.
1 Like
Real talk (9 mins) about financial market risks in German from Dr. Dietmar Peetz, ZĂŒrichsee
- Liquidity and asset prices
- Prepare for all scenarios including crises
this is great but itâs not actionable in any way.
the bubble has burst, he said, but it was only a 10% down⊠?
âburstingâ for me is 40-50% drawdown
2 Likes
His sensationalist tone aside, he strives to look behind the curtains and tries to avoid group thinking. Hereâs is another product from his LinkedIn:
I stole this from Twitter:
âHereâs a chart of the S&P 500 over the last 15 years. Some data is not present.
I only used 1% of the data yet this chart probably conveys more information than most charts.â
(Source)
6 Likes
2009 to today leans itself very well to that very nice curve. I wonder what a curve of the last 30 years would show (hint: there would be a 15 years gap on it, or it would not be so nicely exponential).
2 Likes
Well, my friend, youâre in luck that the SPY data on Google Sheets goes back to SPYâs inception a little over 30 years ago.
Fast forward a couple of Google Sheets tables tortured by Goofy and hereâs the corresponding weekly chart (based on closing prices revolving 7 days back since yesterday):
I drew the power law line extrapolated between the latest price and the inception price and allowed the matching data points to not exceed 1% of all the data points within that time period.
Can anyone of you geniuses spot the Great Financial Crisis?
9 Likes
Jack Bogle is proud of you.
Now, we need to stomach the volatility.
1 Like
For laughs, you should do one that curves the other way: follows the curve up to the dotcom peak, then cuts across near covid and is ready to head back down 
1 Like
Youâre asking me me take down Google via Sheets, arenât you?
1 Like
And if you extrapolate the run up to the dot-com crash, you can see that we still havenât recovered from it.
2 Likes
With almost 50% of cars sold in US being imported what would happen in next few months? I am failing to see the logic of this policy.
Even if all of these companies decide to build local manufacturing plants, it will take at least couple of years. What happens between now and then? People stop buying cars or they will pay 25% higher prices ? What kind of access capacity actually exists in current plants in US?
I doubt that car companies have enough margins to absorb such tariffs.
25% tariffs announced for all countries
Anyone have some insights into how this policy can make economical sense ?
1 Like
I guess it could make sense if you wanted to re-shore all manufacturing.
The problem is that Trump will be gone in 4 years and so doubtful that anyone is going to make that investment when the policy will be reversed in 4 years if not in 4 days.
3 Likes
It seems that EU will impose similar tariffs on US cars.
Tomorrow the markets will bleed because now it seems Tariffs are here to stay
1 Like
âNowâ yes, but isnât that ping-ponging from day-to-day? 
I guess Vix is a good place to bet on these days. 
1 Like