I am +13% on a TSLA short position over the last 2 weeks. No funky leveraged ETFs. Also +1.7% on long VT (relative trade) so I guess +14.7% overall.
Beware of your vol drag. If we get a few more red days on these growth stocks the 3x daily leverage will do you super well though.
My TSLA short is just 1% of portfolio but diversified other shorts (LMND, SNOW, UBER, etc.) also collecting some nice profits today.
Considering adding some more downside protection to my portfolio with options but would rather buy on a green, low vol day. Some debit put spreads on a few high IV picks and some OTM monthly puts on some low IV.
Since I’m waiting for my food, I’ll make this very quick, .
I’d add at least one major risk to the risk summary (and it wouldn’t have needed dbu to - coincidentally - post it right before me, but his linked video reinforces the point):
“Panic sell” or “quietly take profits” - it’s a question of perspective
BTW - it would be interesting to see if Tesla Inc. is tempted to sell their Bitcoins. Perhaps they have already done so…
S&P 500 is on par to where it was a month ago.
There’s a bigger sell-off going on in tech - but not unexpectedly so, after the last rally.
NASDAQ 100 is down about 3.5 to 4% over a month, but still positive year-to-date.
TSLA is sliding and down since the compared to beginning of the year.
It’s not only a bear market. Or if it is, TSLA is disproportionaly affected by it.
Again, not unexpectedly (after its run-up so far).
I would. There’s still much downside potential.
It only needs to go back to its price mid-November '20, to lose another 38%.
We may disagree sharply on whether TSLA is a good investment now (or how risky it is).
If one is up 15x like Remo (as he says in his video), there’s little arguing though that TSLA has been a very good investment for him.
I don’t agree one should invest in or hold TSLA now.
I would, however, have to congratulate him for spotting the opportunity early - and acting on it.
Even if I have stated many times my skepticism about Tesla’s stock price, i have to admire @San_Francisco’s balls to directly short Tesla, I would not have done it.
I still think that in the long term, the company won’t earn enough return on invested capital and thus will be roughly worth its book value give or take 50% ( that makes a target price of $10-30 share). There are several reasons for this, among which supply side competition, accounting and governance red flags and so on.
That said, shorting is still a very risky endeavor, at least for two reasons:
the risk profile is meh. The most i can earn is 100% if the stock goes to zero, while i can lose an infinitiy of money if the stock goes up enough.
Let’s say I have found a company which I think is either excessively promoted or a fraud. First order thinking would be to say, “Great, let’s short it!”. Second order thinking is to realize that if that is really the case, then this company is really good at promoting itself or being a fraud, and unless something fundamental changes, there is no reason that the price will suddenly go down after I enter my short position. As Munger would say, Being short and seeing a promoter take the stock up is very irritating. It’s not worth it to have that much irritation in your life.
So i gladly take a pass, but I am here for the popcorn
To be fair to my balls, I didn’t short directly. As mentioned earlier, I just bought leveraged ETFs (although that probably worked in my favour so far). In any case, the potential of a loss is limited to my investment.
By reading and partipating to this forum, you confirm you have read and agree with the disclaimer presented on http://www.mustachianpost.com/
En lisant et participant à ce forum, tu confirmes avoir lu et être d'accord avec l'avis de dégagement de responsabilité présenté sur http://www.mustachianpost.com/fr/
Durch das Lesen und die Teilnahme an diesem Forum bestätigst du, dass du den auf http://www.mustachianpost.com/de/ dargestellten Haftungsausschluss gelesen hast und damit einverstanden bist.