Respectfully, I think your post is more geared towards the US setting, I don’t think it’s really applicable in Europe.
I can see how people can lose jobs and hence have no liquidity to keep buying, this is why I wrote “the key thing is to keep a job” above, but if one doesn’t lose their jobs then what’s to stop them buying?
I cannot see a scenario where the Swiss 2nd and 3rd pillars can be lost, or my bank account given I don’t borrow. The brokerage account will lose value, yes, but be lost for real? No, not even if PF and UBS go under (which they won’t), securities are segregated.
Big sharks and whales were buying the hell of the RE dips worldwide in 2008 and 2012-2015 (Greece), they were even actively undermining the country so it blows out of the EUR and into drachma so they could bring their £/$/CHF/EUR to buy even more things on the cheap. I’d have strung them up, hanged, drawn and quartered if I could.
I remember 2000, didn’t even make the news in Greek backwater. 2008 made the news but was not really felt because of high % of home ownership and low borrowing culture. 2012-2015 was the real kicker when public pensions were cut in half and insane property taxes were introduced. Having lived through it, employed in a healthy company, owning my house I literally didn’t feel a thing until the crazy left came to power. Sure, my dad whose pension was/is in GR Govt long-term bonds lost 75% of his pension, it’s unclear if he’ll ever get it back.
My point is that it’s country-specific, I am betting someone with a Cantonal job, no stocks whatsoever would not bat an eyelid at reading “The AI Bubble Burst”.
Edit: I just remember reading a long post about “Why Europeans don’t invest”, a few years back. A response stayed with me, it went along the lines of “Europeans don’t trust stocks, and it’s unlikely many tears will be shed for dirty bankers, ordinary people won’t even realise if Apple went under”. It was written by a French person. Now France is, sadly, near bankrupt - and this will be felt - but it has nothing to do with stocks.