Federal savings measures - Potential tax increases

Sotomo.ch published detailed survey results on how the public sees the proposed measures on fixing adapting the federal finance situation:

Barometer-Finanzpolitik.pdf (German)

Interesting (for me) take-aways:

  • 48% oppose the proposal
  • the public wants to cut spending in foreign aid, media aid and defense
  • the public does not want to cut spending in AHV/IV, education/research and public transport
  • 53% would like to introduce a finance transaction tax :weary:
  • only 8% are in favor of the proposed pillar 2 and 3a tax measures :partying_face:

Some charts:



Surprising: even the left opposes taxing pillar 2 and 3a 


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At least the government already said no to that.

People just dont realize how bad that would be for CH as a finance hub. These taxes also always fail basically. Look at Sweden on what that did there.
Companies will just leave/do business outside CH as a consequence.
And swiss companies that stay will be less competitive.
Short term a little extra money, longterm terrible for everyone involved.

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I feel like it’s really hard for people to understand the impact, they just think all those transactions are useless so it doesn’t matter.

HFT and most financial actors have a pretty bad reputation, so it doesn’t help (even when they actually improve things, like extra liquidity/lower spread/more stable markets).

(and as you mention, finance actors can just move elsewhere)

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Swiss business model is based on services
 so I think this kind of taxation is not going to happen.
Already the ETF industry moved to IRELAND due to the Swiss WHT & CH not able to get same deal with US for ETFs

BTW. Dont we already have Stamp duties? CH govt is getting more revenue vs Swissquote when people buy / sell ETF leaders.

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It’s surprising to me that across party lines people have the financial transaction tax in the top three of desired measures to generate more income at the federal level. Again from the sotomo study:


This could tempt say, the SP and the Greens to launch an initiative to introduce such a tax as they could hope for votes even from the SVP.

Just a gut feeling, but I believe “the people” just in general are suspicious of banks, the “finance industry” etc. and recent events like Credit Suisse f-ing up and UBS buying them very cheaply while risks were “externalized” to Switzerland (i.e. tax payers) didn’t help with this.

The people might want to “stick it to the man” without realizing they’re probably taking a shot at their own foot.


Edit:

We do have stamp duties. There was a recent vote on abolishing it but it failed with 62.67% opposing getting rid of it.

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so what is Financial transaction tax?

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This documents the recent decision by the federal council why they don’t want to introduce further financial transaction taxes and lists the ones that were proposed in 2021 by but rejected on Oct 9 2024:

Der Bundesrat lehnt eine Finanzierung der AHV durch Finanzmarkttransaktionssteuern ab

Excerpt:

Finanztransaktionssteuern können namentlich auf Wertschriftentransaktionen (Emission und Handel von Wertschriften), auf Kredit- und Einlagetransaktionen im ZinsdifferenzgeschÀft der Banken und auf Devisentransaktionen erhoben werden. Die Schweiz kennt mit der Emissions- und der Umsatzabgabe bereits heute zwei Finanztransaktionssteuern


Edit:

I doubt, though, that the average voter will ask your question what the Finanztransaktionssteuer actually is (and I would also claim that the average participant in the referenced sotomo study did not ask the question).
I think in the average voters mind it’s a tax “that financial institutions and the bankers making the big money” will pay. Hence the broad support across party lines to introduce such a tax.

It’s interesting how everyone goes after banks and financial institutions without thinking too much in detail.

Anyways thanks for sharing the data
It’s interesting how people react to various things and how difficult the job of politicians actually is to make reforms

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Just wanted to ask if there has been any movement on this front?

Wondering when would govt will make a proposal so that things become a bit clear

Next step should be this month where consultation starts: Le Conseil fĂ©dĂ©ral fixe les grandes lignes du programme d’allĂ©gement des finances fĂ©dĂ©rales

In yesterday’s NZZ: Bundesrat plant höhere Steuern bei Vorsorge: Kapital gleich besteuern wie Rente (behind paywall) a new proposal is made. Timely, given the consultation for the existing proposal is just about to take place.

English Summary:

The Swiss Federal Council is planning to increase taxes on withdrawals from pension funds and private retirement accounts (Pillar 3a), sparking significant debate. Experts and financial planners are advocating for a reform in how pension funds are taxed, proposing a unified, one-time taxation system for pension capital.

Key Points:

  • Proposed Tax Changes: Currently, pension withdrawals are taxed at a lower, privileged rate separate from regular income. The Federal Council’s proposal would eliminate this advantage, potentially discouraging savings in Pillar 3a and pension funds.
  • Rising Capital Withdrawals: Many retirees prefer withdrawing their pension funds as a lump sum rather than receiving a lifetime annuity, partly due to tax benefits. Capital withdrawals rose from CHF 6.3 billion in 2015 to CHF 14.8 billion in 2023.
  • Expert Proposal: Specialists Reto Spring and Reto Leibundgut suggest a one-time, flat tax on pension capital (e.g., 10%) upon retirement. This tax would simplify the system, eliminate regional differences, and prevent loopholes for high earners.
  • Simplification Benefits: Under this system, remaining funds would be tax-free, whether taken as a lump sum, annuity, or a combination. This would level the playing field, reduce tax-related mismanagement, and lower retirees’ tax burdens.
  • Challenges: Critics argue that the transition could lead to a rush to exploit the old system’s benefits. Additionally, low-tax cantons might lose out under the proposed changes.
  • Potential Impacts: The reform could make lifetime annuities more attractive again, ensuring retirees have stable, lifelong income. It also aligns with constitutional requirements to provide adequate retirement income.

Supporters of the reform believe it would simplify taxation, promote fair treatment across income groups, and reduce the risk of retirees exhausting their savings prematurely. However, opposition may arise from financial advisors whose business models rely on promoting capital withdrawals over annuities.

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A flat tax would be beneficial for people with a big pillar 2/3a, no?

I don’t understand the “simplification benefits”: what exactly would be tax-free? No wealth tax for withdrawn pillar 3a and pilla 2 lump-sum? No income tax on pillar 2 pensions?

Yes, no progressive tax on capital withdrawal is how I read the proposal. Once withdrawn, it would be taxed as wealth – I don’t see anything stated that says otherwise. And yes, no income tax on pillar 2 pension.

At least that’s how I read the proposal.

The 10% flat doesn’t make sense for most cantons. ZH for example can lose a lot of revenue.

Most likely it means something else

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They really are continuing to try to sabotage the pillars.

I will continue to not pay into 3a and limit 2nd pillar as much s possible. Really annoying that my company doubled our minimum plan and I now have to pay a lot more into 2nd pillar
.

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First I thought the proposal was to increase taxes on pension withdrawal.

Now it appears we are talking about tax reduction for everyone :slight_smile:

Not sure what’s going on and what’s the main objective

Any idea when would this be final ? Uncertainty is worse than tax increase

10% flat is only at the federal level. Cantons can do what they want or leave what they have in place.

The proposal is aimed at helping fix the deficit at the federal level.

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But then what does it mean that this would eliminate regional differences?

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Now they sugarcoat the pill saying “e.g 10%”, in reality it will be more like 30% I imagine.

That’s why it isn’t a tax reduction and how it also would make sense in ZH (@Abs_max)

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I think that would be even worse than the original proposal



Would wait to see what the actual proposal is