Hatte Lust auf eine spannende Diskussion bei Bogleheads. Mal schauen, ob/wie lange der Threat offen bleibt 
https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?f=10&t=454795&newpost=8365137&view=unread#unread
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Well âŠ
Chart crime meets chart crime.
Okay, okay, I admit: yours isnât a chart crime.
I still like drawing red lines 
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Actually one scenario where this happens is for retirees. They get a big lumpsun and they need to invest
For someone who have never invested in their life, they might still need to do so with retirement fund unless they buy annuities
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Why donât you start writing comics
I have to say there is a lot of creativity here getting lost amidst stock picking and cash flow management
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Also, the best started with stick figures and minimal drawing. xkcd, the Order of the Stick, asdf (ok, not a comic but a big Youtube success),âŠ
Also, xkcd has proven that chart crimes do sell and bring success (or is it SMBC - Saturday Morning Breakfast Cereal? Or both?). While there are many science based strips, I can see room in the space for minimalistic financial charts with red lines ones.
Honored by the suggestions, but Goofyâs comics would end up like this:
By the way, Iâve discussed this â the, ahem, unfortunate art ârestaurationâ ⊠project â with my hairdresser, who is also an actual and trained art curator, and she lectured me quite extensively on the topic: since this (in hindsight) so-called mishap âsituationâ
local tourism has shot up like at least ten fold in the region to visit and see the ⊠thing.
Prior to the ⊠ahem, mishap ⊠the region and place was left for dead, and since itâs hit the Interwebs, visitors are pouring in like ⊠investors traders on TSLA on a pump day or so.
Also, for completeness: love xkcd.
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Bah, treath already got blocked. Bogleheads is no fun time to move from fun treats to artsy Hobbys too? 
If you had a reference to which post you were replying to, it would be a little bit easier to answer.
Youâre directly replying to mine, which is why I am a little uncertain whether you are replying to me, but if you are, can you please explain yourself?
If youâre not replying to me, itâs probably still helpful to understand what you are agitated about, but no urgency.
Apologies if I completely misunderstood.
I created a fun threat on Bogleheads, asking Americans for Asset Allocation and Fonds Jurisdiction advice, given Trump treatens to use military force to seize Greenland, which would cause war with Nato and void all international holdings. Wanted to see if I could pretend this was all about asset allocation and not politics, and have some fun with the americans - but after something like 20 responses, the admin over there just deleted my fun threat. Was just bored lolâŠ
Please refrain from using other peopleâs time (the moderation policy at Bogleheads is well known and it was expected that your thread wouldnât last) when bored? Go into artsy productive hobbies instead?
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Breaking news
Friedrich Merz fails to secure enough votes to be chancellor in first round of voting
Seems his own party members voted against him in secret voting. This is shocking & public humiliation
Update
Second vote was won and now Merz is the chancellor
âWith the 1998 analog no longer âin charge,â the 2018 analog has taken over in terms of which past correction looks the most like the current one. That 2018 bear-scare produced a sharp 20% drawdown, which was quickly reversed when Fed Chair Powell pivoted from his hawkish stance. From there, the market went straight up. I donât see the same thing happening this time, but while we donât have a Fed put for this cycle, we do seem to have found the Trump put. The effects are the same.â â Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity
(Source)
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Please use total return logarithmic charts. Everything else is misleading.
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Can this be summed up as âwith the exception of 1973 and 2000, all other 20% drawdowns ended up positive after 12 monthsâ?
Also, âTrump putâ, âFed putâ is quite inventive
My main take away from any such chart about drawdowns & recovery is that most investors would end up receiving 4-6% per annum inflation adjusted returns in their lifetime.
The distribution of this might be different for everyone but over a 40 year investing horizon, everything will more or less fall in place. So if this happens earlier in investing journey, it might not be such a bad thing
Having said that, the frequency of 20% downturns is increasing in last 10 years. Donât know what this means for future returns. Looks like we are going towards 1928-1945 period where bear markets were more frequent.
- Bear markets have been less frequent since World War II. Between 1928 and 1945 there were 12 bear markets, or one about every 1.5 years. Since 1945, there have been 15âone about every 5.1 years.
There is a chance now that there wouldnât be many âdealsâ and we would go back to a chart with new tariffs by country after 90 days pause.
Trump sounded quite frustrated with questions about deals
I believe the problem US is facing is that there are not many things that other countries can offer US to have a trade deficit reduction. Itâs not possible to suddenly have so much new demand for US goods & services. It takes years to correct trade imbalance and collaboration. Confrontation is not always best solution.
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Trump also announced yesterday a 100% tariffs on all foreign made movies. Dude is unhinged at this point.
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He may have realized he overpromised. Trade deals usually take years, not 90 days to conclude, despite earlier excitement over âphones were ringing off the hookâ and foreign leaders queueing up to humbly beg for mercy.
Also, everyone noticed how he blinks when Treasuries start to sell off, so little incentive for major concessions.
Perhaps we see some quickly hashed up deals that can be sold as major wins.