China is pushing for more concessions
Hard to read with that many typos.
They need to use agentic AI for a reviewing agent to check the outputs of the generating one.
(Source)
TL:DR
- market crashes happen, every time itâs different, because if it was the same then there wouldnât be a crash
- 100something market crashes with >=50% drops studied showed positive returns after the crash
- All these crashes were different, and had different associated narratives, so while they were different, the outcomes were not
- crashes are rare opportunities to gain self-awareness in terms of real risk tolerance as well as opportunities to buy cheap
- Making a plan in calm times and sticking to it in rough times is a key to success
Edit: some real brain rot on reddit (what did I expect) with headless chicken calling Ben Felix a âshillâ. As Jeremy Clarkson put it âsome people really have started mating with vegetablesâ.
I disregarded the article mostly when I read the paragraph in which they say that âinvesting is a zero sum game, for somebody to win, someone else needs to loseâ.
This is just objectively wrong and only really applicable for daytraders etc.
Literally everyone wins when just investing in the broad market. Nobody loses, when buy&holding.
100% and I too essentially stopped putting much effort into the article after this sentence. Then if you make it to the end it becomes a selling spiel.
When I watched the video, this was the most important takeaway. âEvaluate your risk toleranceâ
Serves me right for only skimming the article before posting it here. Will try to do some better due diligence the next time.
Uuuh⊠wait no, it was a test and you all passed, congrats ![]()
All in.
With sentiment so low, I think there could be buying opportunities here (of course with a lot of risk too). I wish I had more money to invest!
Finpension screwed up my rebalancing and now I missed out on the low of the last Tuesday. Tomorrow is the next trading day and it seems to be a lot higher than last Tuesday. There are no bounds to my luck ![]()
I could see another big drop from here. In my opinion the market is still in denial and hasnât priced in the tariffs much.
If the tariffs are staying and US policy staying erratic, we will go lower Iâm very sure of that.
close for 8th April MSCI ACWI (ref SSAC.SW)-: 69.32
current levels -: 69.82
I dont see this as huge difference
Is your portfolio heavily skewed towards US?
I donât see the reciprocal tariffs staying at all. heck apart from china, they havenât even been applied.
worst case, we wait 4 years until the next president removes them.
And in these 4 years we will have a depression then, as economic growth slows.
Plus the lasting damage to economic policy expectations with the US.
Even the baseline 10% tariffs will cause some economic growth slowdown.
maybe that was the target to achieve in the first place?
Go in, kick down the doors, threaten everyone⊠then play the nice guy to apply only 10% tariffs?
âthe art of the dealâ in a day of a poker player
(I guess he will fold latest at the River)
If you believe that, shouldnât you sell NOW?
Or it is just fear?
I think all this is to cause a reversion to the mean.
US has outperformed many years due to assumption that other markets are not that interesting as US.
Now the tide is turning and US is under question. This would invariably force investors to ask for higher risk premiums which means lower valuations
Itâs unfortunate for world ETF investors because all of them are heavily exposed to US. But maybe not that unfortunate for average foreign investor who is typically quite biased to domestic stocks.
Nevertheless -: everyone will end up getting 4-5% real returns over a long period of time. The breakdown during the period might vary

