Chronicles of 2025

[cubanpete_the_swiss]

@Elsitio

wouldn’t a bull run be plausible?

Yes it would and it will be. I don’t care too much about the reasons, not for the bear market not for the bull run after. I just trade it.

This is my 10th bear market, I invest in stocks since the early 80s. It is the 4th time I use my “crash recovery strategy”. This is kind of the bad bad market timing, so it is discussed in the market timing thread.

BTW: on every bear market everybody said “this time it is different”. Guess what: it never was!

Any market timers out there

This is the bad thread about market timing. Yippie, the futures indicate that we enter officially into a bear market today. That is the only time I do (or try to) time the market. A bear market is special in many ways. Correlations change, everything seems to be correlated. This time even the Dollar index. I stop buying stocks altogether until some signs of reversal occur. I don’t care if the prices then are higher or lower than now. Market timing does not mean automatically bottom fishing. I…