Chronicles of 2025

Nice, bottom fisher thread.

I hate market timing, but I do it too. Once we enter bear market territory (NASDAQ did already I think) I stop buying and wait for signs of market reversal. Then I buy on credit, a lot. Did this the last 3 bear markets. Twice my timing was almost perfect, the third time it was too early… I had to suffer a lot before making a shitton of money. The more pain the more gain.

Here is a little finviz screener that shows the number of SP500 stocks that are over the 50 days average. Once the number of stocks is more than 250 I look for other signs, mainly the VIX Future contango situation.

As always my methods are completely mechanic, no more decision making in volatile situations. I made all needed decisions a decade ago.

My mechanical systems: