He rather strikes me as having an opportunist attitude to race relations:
He might be indifferent or even tolerating racist attitudes or actions to some degree, if doing the opposite would hurt his own interests. For example, his companies might discriminate, not rent to blacks, if it hurts his real estate businesses. And he might not distance himself from racists, so as not to alienate them, if they represent a substantial number of potential voters.
But I doubt that he’s really a supremacist at heart.
Also, I read news articles over the last couple of days saying that Trump has increased not only the mere number, but also his share among black voters this year, compared to previous Republican candidates.
Not quite. 1% was the general plus at the markets that were open today until the vaccine news at 12:40, then everything went up an additional 2-4%.
So election “news” = 1%
Vaccine = the rest
Generally speaking.
I’ll admit that I put probably too much trust into polls.
Putting 12% on Biden seems overconfident retrospectively. However, I still believe this was “more correct” than what betting markets implied.
Until now, there’s still no real sign of mass civil unrest on the right. It remains to be seen if this stays the same, but I might have been too pessimistic on this.
My prediction, about what happens when the election is close, is looking pretty good:
Trump seems to have been succesfull in undermining the trust in the election of many of his followers.
“The test of a first-rate intelligence is the ability to hold two opposed ideas in the mind at the same time, and still retain the ability to function.”
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