[COFFEE] Possibility of World War 3

Works good for 3-4 months/year and only for regular households. Forget about the industry or major parts of the infrastructure.

We need nuclear, fission and later fusion.

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Yes, therm might be solutions by 203, too bad we are still in 2022.

Also, batteries and solar panels right now are made with materials found especially in China AFAIK. And China is far from condemning russia on the invasion. Plus russia might manage to stand on its feet by selling gas and oil to china instead of europe


Yes, in cases like germany belgium and ch, the only low hanging fruit is to revert the dismissal of nuclear power.

Fusion is far in the future.

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I said 2030. Just please watch this video patiently and see if it changes your mind.

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China will happily consume those for their own advancement, I believe.

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It’s possible but not given.

Also remember that even in Germany, electricity production is currently just one part of energy consumption. Just for heating we’d need massive investments to fix all those not well isolated buildings, and switch to different heating sources. Even with 100% nuclear power, we’d still have large needs in oil and gas (look at France).

(In addition to industry needs, as mentioned)

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Event more impactful than any disconnection from SWIFT, was the announcement on freezing the Russian central bank foreign reserves. Their liquid foreign reserve are now down to gold (15% of reserve) and RMB (which probably isn’t a major part of the reserve, since there’s only an estimated 200B in worldwide reserve in RMB per wikipedia vs 460B of non-gold reserve for Russia).

(I think that’s an unprecedented measure at the scale of a country like Russia).

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If anything it should change your own mind, given that they obviously count a lot on wind power as well, as opposed to :

And in Switzerland wind mills take decades to get approved, if they ever do. Everyone loves them as soon as they’re not in their backyard.
The largest wind farm is still Mt Croisin, it’s been expanded and refurbished since, but it was installed in 1995


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There are way more people dying on the streets from drug overdose, infections or violence than anything else, freezing to death is one of the least likely reasons. In recent years we had really mild winters, nothing you can’t survive with a few blankets and some additional layers of clothes.

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The phenomen even has it’s own name, NIMBY (not in my backyard).

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Solar and Wind are meant to complement each other, meaning that when it’s not sunny then maybe it’s at least windy. I especially didn’t mention wind, because I think in Switzerland we don’t want to put windmills. But we already have hydro, which provides a nice baseline. The idea is that if you put enough solar and batteries to get you through the night and cloudy days.

What do you think: if Putin went mad and dropped a nuclear weapon on Kiev, would the NATO declare war on Russia? If so, would Russia start nuking NATO countries? Trying to estimate the risk of a nuke landing in Warsaw


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I cannot imagine this, but if it’s happens
 Well
 NATO will probably drop a nuclear weapon on Moscow in order to neutralize Putin directly
 If he is there
 I hope that this would never happens


I don’t see a scenario in which Putin would launch a nuclear bomb on Kiev: it is way too close to Russia. I’m not excluding the risk of nuclear war arising from this but it seems way too early with stakes still too low for it.

Edit: Plus, part of the appeal of Ukraine are its natural resources and agricultural lands. Irridiating that seems counter-productive to me.

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I don’t know how nuclear weapons work, if there is significant radiation spreading far from the site of the explosion.

The scenario in which Putin drops nukes is one in which he just doesn’t care anymore. He’s going down and wants to cause as much damage as he can before they get to him. That’s how I see it.

Ok, didn’t think about it this way. But I don’t think NATO will intervene, precisely because the next second nukes would be flying towards Warsaw.

I honestly don’t know how you handle an unhinged dictator who can destroy a city at will. Maybe they need to send an agent to execute him.

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I could see that, but that would require strong reactions from the outside and strong opposition from the inside. I have no idea of Putin’s real footing on Russia and how loyal to him his men are, so I really can’t speak but it doesn’t seem likely to me in the short term. It could happen quicker than we foresee it, though, so I understand your concern. I think all the actors involved have it in mind and want to avoid such a scenario, which is why someone like Kim Jong-un is still sitting in power.

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Sorry, I couldn’t find the right word and used the wrong one. While the morale and loyalty of the troops matters to the outcome, I think only betrayal by his closest allies (political, military and special agencies leaders, others), who could foresee themselves taking Putin’s place would put him in a state of thinking that his reign is over.

Pretty sure.

You should (at least depending on the type of bomb used) not compare this nuclear power plants and their radiation. Conventional nuclear bombs are designed to create a big blast - not to pollute the environment with radiation for decades of years.

Hiroshima and Nagasaki were both reconstructed after WW2, are both inhabited today, with low levels of radiation. Also, Kyiv is more than 50km away from the nearest border (to Belarus), so at a safe distance.

Yes - but I don’t believe it. I think his motives are ultimately geostrategical and a restoration of former Soviet/Russian influence or, if you will “glory” as his political legacy. Causing damage by nuclear bombs on Kyiv or going into a full-scale war with NATO doesn’t fit that.

Thank god you’re not in charge of NATO.

Your suggestions are most likely to straight up lead us into a nuclear holocaust.

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