Sorry if my casual tone put you off. Too much of discord chat where this kind of language is common. I didn’t mean to intimidate you.
Anyway, I’m not saying I totally believe the 80y prediction. It’s our best bet. Maybe if robots start doing our jobs, we will discover a newfound inspiration to make more kids. Personally, I think many places in the World are overcrowded, I dislike the size of many capital cities, the complex infrastructure that has to be built to support it all. So in that sense I’m ok with the growth slowing down. I think it is just happening very fast, and the young people will have many old ones to take care of in the future.
We’re on the same page here. Large cities are a pain, but unfortunately those attract the most people. Because they are aiming for a better life for themselves and their families. In Switzerland we’re pretty fortunate that there’s no large city (not counting Zurich as large), especially if you compare to places like Bangkok, Kuala Lumpur or Manila.
We can’t grow infinitely on this planet, so there needs to be some slowing down. On the other hand: we are looking at it from a first world perspective in one of the richest countries on this planet. I do understand the other 6 or 7 billion people who also want to have what we have, which is a driver for growth.
That’s possible - or we just end up like Japan where male guys are rather having a virtual girlfriend than actually dating a woman in real life.
I get the robot idea, and it would be too good to be true: not having to do stupid labor work, instead concentrating on other aspects of life. There are several layers to this one. One of them unfortunately is loss of power for some people (government, ultra rich). If people are not occupied anymore by trying to work more to gain more, they might think about the bigger picture and start revolutions. That’s one of the reasons why I think a general basic income for everyone is not working. Plus, there would be no incentive for people to actually build/achieve something anymore.
I guess it’s tricky situation in general. Western / 1st world civilizations getting older and older, having fewer children, while at the same time trying to hold on to the status quo. On the other hand, 7 billion people trying to be part of that first world. I don’t have a final answer to the question of how to solve that dilemma.
Of course, it’s all subjective. I do understand your point about Zurich being too big and overcrowded. A lot of businesses are in Zurich, therefore it attracts a lot of people.
I think something underrated is that high end goods prices are going up at a much higher rate that the average inflation. Think about a nice hotel, business class tickets, private education, high end restaurant.
It more broadly applies to many things that aren’t captured by the measure of CPI while still contributing to the feeling of inflation.
It’s enough that the essentials - like health insurance - are not included in CPI.
No need to even go to luxuries.
And housing “is” included seemingly,
but rental market is definitely not represented well.
Yes, if you stay in the exact same place, it might not have changed wildly, but try having to move…
I find their handling of health insurance costs inside the CPI makes sense at a societal level: you take into account the total costs of healthcare for the global population, only consider the part that doesn’t provide extra benefits not previously available as inflation and consider the rest to set how much healthcare weights in the basket (buying a Lambo to replace a Clio doesn’t mean car prices have inflated a lot, it’s lifestyle creep).
On a personal level, though, it doesn’t make sense. Unless special conditions apply (chronic disease or somesuch), we’re bound to consume more healthcare in our older days than previously in our life. In the CPI, all those costs are agregated but healthcare premiums de facto transfer some of them from the older population to the younger one so accounting of healthcare costs don’t make sense at any given point in time for an individual using the CPI to account for inflation.
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