Chronicles of fat years [2024-2027 Edition]

Investing / Others
1169

So you are saying that everyone expected S&P 500 to fall down like this in march?

1 Like
1170

In fact, it reliably happens every five years.

Here’s the proof for n=1: the last time this happened – even more severly! – is 2020.

I'll see myself out.
5 Likes
1171

Personally not in March, but some time between November 2024 and June 2025 :wink:

And I’m hopin’ it ain’t stoppin’ :wink:

1172

You are hoping market keep crashing?

1173

Of course, I need it and have cash to plug :slight_smile:

2 Likes
1174

If I believe some (stupid?) people on internet, it will crash (again?) around the 21 of april

1175

What’s on the 21st of April?

1176

Well there is a theory about 90 days after the inauguration something should happen becaus that guy did a thing. So if it happens there will be again a PR nightmare. I’ll let you google it because it is honestly a bit of a stretch to believe it.

1 Like
1177

Ah, similar to other truisms like “sell and May and go away, but remember to come back in November”?.

1178

Finally at -10% from ATH on VTI.

1179

Not yet in VWRL though, but in the right direction :smiley:

Edit: hey let’s be specific, I make it -9.8% for VTI right this minute :stuck_out_tongue:

1 Like
1180

17418878161682325548426272454237

4 Likes
1181

My policy is to invest quarterly. Done for march.

Let’s wait and See.

2 Likes
1182

I can never tell if the Braveheart HOLD meme gifs are meant as “hold, don’t sell” or “hold, it’s not yet time to buy the dip” in these kinds of situations. It’s kind of neat how it’ll appear to confirm your bias no matter what you think about the future movements of the market or about the utility of market timing.

4 Likes
1183

Exactly, I believe in this forum it means “hold, it’s not yet time to buy the dip”, or certainly I interpret it this way.

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1184

Frens, this is only determined in hindsight.

Hold. Or not.

1185

It’s easy, the answer is: yes.

3 Likes
1186

Here’s one since the election from today’s WSJ:

image
image1476×1216 76.4 KB

(Source)

4 Likes
1187

Today’s S&P500 movement makes me question the idea that “missing the 10 best days in 50 years beings your return down by 99.99%” (not quite, you know which one I mean). How did they estimate that? We are still under ATH so money in before the drop of the last two weeks are still underwater so what gives?

1 Like
1188

I think they just remove the 10 best days and recalculate.

2 Likes