Right wind leadership bring big market bulls. It’s always the left that kills profits. I cannot imagine Trump defanged by midterms. See Jan 6
oh yeah, I too have reduced my VOO DCA to a minimum - I felt bad for it, but now I can consider this to be my mitigation strategy! ![]()
This is objectively wrong. Edit: watch this US Elections vs. the Stock Market
what a prediction…
I think mid terms itself would not make much difference. Most people are expecting House to be won by democrats. So all this is priced in. If Republicans win the house, then we can expect a bull run.
They key number to watch is actually US10Y bond yield. Most bubbles are pricked by rising interest rates as they expose vulnerabilities for low profit companies.
There is currently a close to 90% chance on betting markets for the Dems to take the house.
But there is also a 51% of Dems to take the Senate as well. So currently a very high prediction to take both (basically also 51%, if Dems take the Senate, taking the House is a given essentially, from how the seats are distributed)
Taking both could put an end to Trumps tariff shenagingas as those currently bank on the Senate closing their eyes and letting him do what he wants.
Who is ending free money, if there are tariffs? ![]()
Dems will blame the Reps and will postpone it as long as possible - the Reps did it, so it‘s their fault. The Reps/Trump administration had the „balls“ for very unconventional procedures; I can only imagine, that the Dems will keep some of them.
Tariffs are all based on emergency laws currently and only valid for x days, that need renewal etf.
There is no way dems come out and use the fentanyl crisis excuse for example to prolong tariffs. They aren‘t that ridiculous.
We’re still talking about politicians.
They are still ridiculous of course
But there are levels to the ridiculousness ![]()
There is somewhere an article on how a duopoly is worse than a monopoly. That works fine also for politics. Two parties are worse than one.
Having said that, I find interesting that no one is discussing about natural disasters. I think we should worry a bit more about that rather than politics. If the “big one” happens in California, I think we’ll see some big market change.. Just count the big 7.X earthquakes lately..
Boy, I wish I could get a $5k Trump dividend but I only have Swiss/EU citizenship!
You would rather get taxed globally?
$5k doesn’t buy what it used to. Maybe when crude oil will be $40 a barrel…
And not like a 5k payout won’t increase inflation further
(at least that was the argument about the stimulus cheques).
Maybe if they hyper inflate debt is no longer a problem ![]()
Yeah, I’m also very jealous of US citizens being busy spending those $2k “tariff dividends” they were promised by the very same person a while back ![]()
They must be so happy to get another 5k check after the tariff refunds and the DOGE check! ![]()
I remember the (good) old times when it was illegal to bribe persons to vote for you..



