Chronicles of 2026 - the next chapter

Too early. The market often flip flops between risk on and risk off.

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When would we buy the dip without dips


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Or will it finally go up in flames ? :face_holding_back_tears:

Whatever we say 48% decline is very painful for BTC buyers who bought at 125K.

Of course much better than MSTR investors at ATH who have lost 76%

I’m going to Omaha to tell Buffett to stop being profitable and if possible, stop generating revenue so that BRK can start making some real returns!

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They’d gather some sympathy if most of them weren’t fedoras.

NZZ: quality journalism.

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If you link the article (I can’t find the article), we can all send a message to the redaction.

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It’s been a funny week. We had silvermageddon last Friday. Then a large dead cat bounce which almost recovered the whole of my portfolio. Then gravity returning for silvermageddon II.

I’m interested to see what Trump has in store for us this weekend!

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It was a special edition “Finanzratgeber 2026”, maybe print only. This guy mentions the article:

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And it is not over yet. My mechanical portfolios did not have a lot of correlation with the indices before. But this year they completely detached from the indices, which are basically a few big caps and hundreds of non-relevant smaller companies. You buy a lot of past high flyers and almost nothing of what will rise. But after 10 years or so of praying to the holy ghost of index ETF that does not matter too much. Or does it?

YTD of indices: SP500 -0.69%, Dow 1.76%, Nasdaq -2.78%, Russell2000 3.86%.

YTD of my mechanical strategies: dividend +7.94%, momentum +13.71%

OK, momentum performance is explained by high risk. But the dividend portfolio was probably saved only by the value factor contained. And of course by the allocation model which is basically same amount for every position.

BTW: the dividend strategy has no secrets, I did publish all the rules in my mechanical investments thread. The momentum strategy has some original rules which I did not publish. It doesn’t really matter, but the reason was that I often have to trade in not very liquid assets and there I want to be
 alone.

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JĂŒrg Zulliger, Redaktor Wirtschaft NZZ & NZZ am Sonntag, the author of the Linkedin post, published the following link: Einen Moment bitte, die Ausgabe wird geladen...

Maybe we need to point them to this forum where this has been discussed to death?!

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Congrats.

You quoted from ‘Finanzratgeber 2026’. According to the disclaimer of NZZ:

Finanzratgeber 2026 ist ein Schwerpunkt des Unternehmens NZZ. Beilagen werden nicht von der Redaktion produziert, sondern bei NZZone von unserem Dienstleister fĂŒr journalistisches Storytelling: NZZ Content Creation.

The article about ETFs was written by Mark Baer. On Linkedin I find a person with that name and the bio:

Ich arbeite seit vielen Jahren als Journalist fĂŒr verschiedene Sonntags- & Tages-Zeitungen und Magazine. Meine kleine Agentur bietet verschiedene Kommunikationsdienstleistungen: Beratung, Texte, Videoproduktionen, Medien-Coachings, Moderationen und mehr.

I would therefore suggest you specify your quote with this additional information.

My portfolio is so diversified it basically hasn‘t moved at all the last couple days.

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I think on Wednesday mine was at ATH even! Now it’s some basis points down from ATH but nothing more than noise.

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Curious, what do you have in there? I have a mix of MCW + SCV and while the end result is it barely moving, the past week or saw daily swings by like 2% up or down a couple of times.

Yeah, “mini Jojo-ing” here too. I would basically call that stable


Though on second thought, (I haven’t looked too frequently but) more in the range of 1 than 2% I would say.