Any Stockpickers out there?

I’m afraid that our Chief Chart Procurement Officer has left the building.

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Here you are

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Thanks! Getting into ‘normal’ territory but by no means cheap. May be a really good target for a written put option - something I’ll reflect on coming weeks.

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I was listening to Monish Pabrai the other day and he was saying S&P500 is overheated and a better choice would be Berkshire class B shares which you could argue is a “mini-ETF” if you don’t want to go all in on VT

by the way which app is this that you are using?

why not NOW instead? Bill McDermott is a killer and they just closed Artemis which he claims is the equivalent to when FB bought Instgram

NOW is a bit expensive still. But I did buy some and am up 20% already! My main buy order was around $61 but that hasn’t hit (yet)!

I’ve thought about this quite a lot as I do hold and continue buying BRK.B for a couple of years. It hasn’t done amazing, I think my gain is low single digits overall over 2 years - it could well be that the current market is so disconnected from fundamentals that BRK.B appears to be left behind, or that the Buffett alpha is gone (for years now, and we’re just seeing the effect).

I think you’re seeing the same effect as just before the dotcom crash where everybody was saying the BRK was obsolete and we should all be buying non-profitable companies as this is the future.

Portfolio update:

  • My portfolio where I do stupid things: +7% YTD
  • My parent’s portfolio where I don’t do stupid things: +15% YTD

Parent’s portfolio:

  • BTI
  • KAP
  • SXLE
  • CRM
  • CNQ
  • IBKR
  • XOM
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I don’t intend to sell…soon…and I am still buying with dividends. I do want to give Abel some time and see how it goes. Edit: mean give him at least a year, maybe 2, probably not more though. I just checked my BRK.B position, sitting at a grand +0.98% (not even the “low single digits” I wrote about…), my first entry was weeks before Charlie passed away and I’ve been adding 3-6 shares per year after that. It’s not a big position but I intend(ed) it forever.

Another green day today. Considering the chaos around the world, I find it hard to believe that we are near all time highs.

Anyway, I filled my oil tank at home and today I bought puts for some insurance.

Considering the low volume of shares you invest in this startup, I would consider BRK.A

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After writing this, I wondered whether to sell and wait for better price as I still find it way over-valued. and bam! down 14% :confused:

I bought it right before the earnings call, haha.

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The earnings roulette giveth and taketh!

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Sold some ARM yesterday at 205 USD, today it’s already at 230 :man_shrugging: put a new sell order limit at 250 just in case…

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Started to buy some small amount into Pernod Ricard stock today, totally against any actual trends of AI, semis, petrol, etc :wink: The merger deal broke with Brown-Forman, stock is falling since over 3 years, let’s see how this goes but for now all I can say is cheers :clinking_glasses:

Has anyone tried this one?

open‑source, multi‑agent LLM trading framework that simulates a full research desk (analysts, researchers, trader, risk and portfolio manager) to analyze tickers and generate trading decisions using various LLM providers

70k+ stars is quite impressive for such a project.

since its opensource (Langraph) you could tweak the agent instructions and datasources to fit your personal research approach while maintaining the structured and transparent evaluation approach.

I’m not really a stock picker myself but I find the agent architecture for such an approach quite remarkable.

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I was at a diner last night and got to talking with a guy who said he’s heavily into:

The FOMO is real, may the force be with me.

Edit: I see you clickin’ :wink:

I came across a dividend stock picker article in Finanz und Wirtschaft yesterday, and thought I’d share the tables. Quite a few have been mentioned in this thread and/or are in the portfolio’s of the notorious B.I.G. dividend chasers investors (@anon17469660 etc) (GIS, MO, CMCSA, etc.)

The way they made the short-list is similar to how others came to their picks (highish div. yields, no cuts last years, payout ratio <80%, no crazy-high debt. Also I guess they tried to limit the number of stocks per sector, else insurance stocks for example would be too numerous).

Their “Überrendite” is calculated by the dividend yield minus the government bond yield in the respective country and currency, a legit factor I suppose, in that a 3% dividend yield in CHF / CH stock is “worth more” than a 3% div. yield in USD / US stock.

Whereas there’s been a strong focus on US dividend stocks here, the Überrendite for European and Asian stocks is actually much better, for example Pernot Ricard, SGS, etc.

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