To put some closure to this thread, here is a an update of our situation:
We’ve made an offer for an apartment but the seller decided to go with someone else (who was offering more money). We’ll stick to renting for the time being. But I’ve learned the following:
-
If you’re pledging your 2nd pillar, you’re still expected to amortize it. Since the interests earned on the second pillar are small (around 1%), the opportunity costs of withdrawing the second pillar are insignificant so you’re probably better off doing just that.
-
Using margin with your broker might be a better solution than pledging your portfolio to your financing institution. It’s most likely cheaper and that way, you’re not at their mercy if something happens.
-
Originally I thought that it would be better to start with a large margin loan (from your broker) in order to have a small 2nd rank mortgage that you have to amortize but I’ve found it a good solution to do the opposite: start with a small margin loan and a large 2nd rank mortgage and “transfer” the debt from the mortgage to the margin loan with the years.
E.g. Assuming a 1 million property. 650k is 1st rank mortgage, so there are 350k to be covered by your own funds and the 2nd rank mortgage. Since I want as little of my own money as possible invested in real estate, I first thought: use 150k from 2nd and 3rd pillar, and 100k of margin loan so that the 2nd rank mortgage is only 100k and the only money I have to pay back, great! But it’s much cleverer to use 50k of margin loan and 150k of 2nd rank mortgage, because every year, I can increase my margin loan to pay back my 2nd rank mortgage:
Year 1: 150k 2nd rank ; 50k margin
Year 2: 140k 2nd rank ; 60k margin
Year 3: 130k 2nd rank ; 70k margin
…
Year 15: 0k 2nd rank ; 200k margin
That trick has the advantage that it reduces the risk of margin calls (since the sum borrowed is much smaller) in the first year and that, if the portfolio doubles in 10 years (7% per year compounded), I might achieve the ultimate goal of not paying back a single cent because I can put the entirety of the 200k on margin. Since the shift from 2nd rank to margin happens slowly, it gives time to the portfolio to grow and actually safetly support such a high margin loan. If I’m already more or less maxing out my margin loan at the beginning, I can’t reasonably increase it and actually have to pay back the 2nd rank mortgage with my own money.
And if the portfolio is threatened by a market drop, I can still not increase the margin loan and actually pay back the 2nd rank mortgage for a few years. Note that if you use this strategy with an indirect amortization, you end up paying the interests twice so direct amortization is likely a better option. Note also that accumulating a high level of debt is inherently risky and not advisable for everyone. -
The mortgage contracts are VERY favorable to the banks. They have so many possibilities to just call the mortgage, it’s scary. I have no doubt that they would use those prerogatives if the rates start to significantly increase. A “fixed” mortgage doesn’t seem to be very fixed in this country (see my other thread on that topic).
Thanks everyone for the discussion, it has certainly been very instructive for me!