# Chronicles of 2026 - the next chapter
**URL:** https://forum.mustachianpost.com/t/chronicles-of-2026-the-next-chapter/17935
**Category:** Coffee
**Created:** [January 3, 2026, 12:28pm UTC](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/t/chronicles-of-2026-the-next-chapter/17935 "2026-01-03T12:28:38Z")
**Posts on this page:** 20
**Page:** 45
### Author:  [@Mirager](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/u/Mirager)
#### Post date: [September 5, 2026, 1:10pm UTC](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/t/chronicles-of-2026-the-next-chapter/17935/914 "2026-09-05T13:10:24Z")
I disagree and the reason is twofold: first Trump is running a borderline cult of personality type government, it seems, with everyone’s career tied to his person and whims. Sure he has strings and they are being pulled, but I doubt this will continue without a strong figurehead. The second reason, related to the first, is that he is already old, rich and hence is probably yoloing it, I can’t see someone carrying this on easily, there’s too much career/reputational damage at stake. I could be wrong, of course.
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### Author:  [@Abs\_max](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/u/Abs_max)
#### Post date: [September 5, 2026, 3:49pm UTC](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/t/chronicles-of-2026-the-next-chapter/17935/915 "2026-09-05T15:49:01Z")
Well you are right about the personality. But I think we all need to remember that large powers do everything in their power to keep their power.
Someone else will come. They might act nice. Methods might change, but goals wouldn’t
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### Author:  [@Panzo](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/u/Panzo)
#### Post date: [September 6, 2026, 9:47pm UTC](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/t/chronicles-of-2026-the-next-chapter/17935/916 "2026-09-06T21:47:36Z")
I have the feeling that Trump worst still has to come?
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### Author:  [@Wolverine](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/u/Wolverine)
#### Post date: [September 6, 2026, 11:03pm UTC](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/t/chronicles-of-2026-the-next-chapter/17935/917 "2026-09-06T23:03:35Z")
Probably? Maybe? The night is darker just before the dawn, they say, but it can be pretty dark already before that and there’s no way to know how much darker it can get before it doesn’t anymore.
As always, plan for the worst but hope for the best. Make sure you can handle hardship if it happens and maintain a high spirit, a good bunch of friends and positive family relationships (as much as possible) at all times.
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### Author:  [@Butch](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/u/Butch)
#### Post date: [September 7, 2026, 4:44pm UTC](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/t/chronicles-of-2026-the-next-chapter/17935/918 "2026-09-07T16:44:11Z")
> [@Abs\_max](#):
>
> But I think it’s like internet.
I am aligned with this as well but it leads me down a different path: like the internet in 2000, near term benefits/impact of AI are vastly overestimated, long term… vastly underestimated.
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### Author:  [@Lupin007](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/u/Lupin007)
#### Post date: [September 7, 2026, 6:27pm UTC](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/t/chronicles-of-2026-the-next-chapter/17935/919 "2026-09-07T18:27:48Z")
Are you changing your portfolio to hedge the above?
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### Author:  [@Butch](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/u/Butch)
#### Post date: [September 7, 2026, 7:19pm UTC](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/t/chronicles-of-2026-the-next-chapter/17935/920 "2026-09-07T19:19:39Z")
Good question. I am too low in tech - a kind of opposite if FOMO.
Once a position i have turns into cash due to a written call option, i may take a more significant albeit very diversified tech position.
My tech exposure in my freizugigkeitskonto is probably much hogher already.
My baby sons investment account is high conviction on tech and my wife and i keep adding tonit every month.
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### Author:  [@Butch](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/u/Butch)
#### Post date: [September 7, 2026, 8:31pm UTC](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/t/chronicles-of-2026-the-next-chapter/17935/921 "2026-09-07T20:31:11Z")
# **Bessent predicts oil prices could drop as low as $40 after Iran conflict ends and supply floods market**
Anybody here willing to bet on this?
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### Author:  [@PhilMongoose](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/u/PhilMongoose)
#### Post date: [September 7, 2026, 8:36pm UTC](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/t/chronicles-of-2026-the-next-chapter/17935/922 "2026-09-07T20:36:31Z")
only if given insider knowledge 😛
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### Author:  [@kawansky](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/u/kawansky)
#### Post date: [September 7, 2026, 8:37pm UTC](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/t/chronicles-of-2026-the-next-chapter/17935/923 "2026-09-07T20:37:46Z")
Good timing! It’s the season to fill up the tank! ⛽
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### Author:  [@Wolverine](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/u/Wolverine)
#### Post date: [September 7, 2026, 8:50pm UTC](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/t/chronicles-of-2026-the-next-chapter/17935/924 "2026-09-07T20:50:05Z")
> **Don't bet against the man, it's already half the price!**
>
> 
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### Author:  [@EPeon](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/u/EPeon)
#### Post date: [September 7, 2026, 8:54pm UTC](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/t/chronicles-of-2026-the-next-chapter/17935/925 "2026-09-07T20:54:15Z")
> [@Butch](#):
>
> # **Bessent predicts oil prices could drop as low as $40 after Iran conflict ends and supply floods market**
>
> Anybody here willing to bet on this?
Could be. But **when** exactly will that happen?
(Unsurprisingly, he didn’t offer that insight😉).
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### Author:  [@Butch](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/u/Butch)
#### Post date: [September 7, 2026, 9:38pm UTC](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/t/chronicles-of-2026-the-next-chapter/17935/926 "2026-09-07T21:38:09Z")
> **[Bessent predicts oil prices could drop as low as $40 after Iran conflict ends...](https://www.foxnews.com/media/bessent-predicts-oil-prices-drop-low-40-iran-conflict-ends-supply-floods-market)**
>
> Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent predicted oil prices could drop to between $40 and $50 after the Iran conflict ends, citing massive supply ready to hit the market.
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### Author:  [@Abs\_max](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/u/Abs_max)
#### Post date: [September 8, 2026, 7:58pm UTC](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/t/chronicles-of-2026-the-next-chapter/17935/927 "2026-09-08T19:58:39Z")
In meantime Diesel is 190 USD (equivalent)
What no one tells us is that Crude oil price is not the only factor, refining capacity is also out and hence the automotive fuel supply is very constrained. Many countries are short.
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### Author:  [@Butch](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/u/Butch)
#### Post date: [September 10, 2026, 8:51am UTC](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/t/chronicles-of-2026-the-next-chapter/17935/928 "2026-09-10T08:51:27Z")
Assuming (not a stretch of the imagination!) Trump loses the mid-terms big time, what do people on the forum think the impact on your investments will be during the 2 years afterwards? Are you taking any actions based on that?
I’m in any case reducing my written options exposure and am considering (for a while now) to shift more from equity to cash, but haven’t made the move just yet. Am already shifitng out of more and more individual stocks and moving to ETF’s to reduce my stress / time spent.
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### Author:  [@user137](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/u/user137)
#### Post date: [September 10, 2026, 9:10am UTC](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/t/chronicles-of-2026-the-next-chapter/17935/929 "2026-09-10T09:10:30Z")
I sold-out massively in 2016 on Trump’s first term, expecting a full-blown chaos. It was a big-time miss of a rocket that came right after. I stayed cautious in 2025, again, missing out big time, then riding the April wave down and up.
I probably won’t do much based on mid-terms. There seems to be no successor yet, so anything I do will be a coin toss.
(On the democratic side I am crossing all my fingers strongly for AOC, but she might lose to Gavin and Trump can’t hopefully run again)
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### Author:  [@Mirager](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/u/Mirager)
#### Post date: [September 10, 2026, 9:14am UTC](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/t/chronicles-of-2026-the-next-chapter/17935/930 "2026-09-10T09:14:25Z")
> [@Butch](#):
>
> Are you taking any actions based on that?
>
> I’m in any case reducing my written options exposure and am considering (for a while now) to shift more from equity to cash, but haven’t made the move just yet.
Not shifting anything, but decided to continue saving but not buying, so will stack some cash.
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### Author:  [@Butch](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/u/Butch)
#### Post date: [September 10, 2026, 9:47am UTC](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/t/chronicles-of-2026-the-next-chapter/17935/931 "2026-09-10T09:47:07Z")
Yeah, that sounds like a path to me.
It’s so difficult to predict the impact. SOme say Trump will become a lame duck which may calm the world down, but others say he doesn’t care about the mid-terms and will just go all out crazy with his ruling by decree because he has nothing to lose.
If not mistaken, generally a shift to Democrat rule in the US leads to a good stock market… but an acceleration vs. what’s already been a nice run is unrealistic?
Days like this I’m glad I’m well diversified - oil goes up, fine, some stocks take a hit but others benefit.
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### Author:  [@Wolverine](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/u/Wolverine)
#### Post date: [September 10, 2026, 10:02am UTC](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/t/chronicles-of-2026-the-next-chapter/17935/932 "2026-09-10T10:02:30Z")
I don’t plan on the US being a rational actor in the near term and the midterms, nor the 2028 presidential election will change that as the problem is, in my opinion, in the electorate and the electoral system.
I’m positioned based on this assumption and don’t intend any change in the near future.
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### Author:  [@Steerpikes](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/u/Steerpikes)
#### Post date: [September 10, 2026, 10:07am UTC](https://forum.mustachianpost.com/t/chronicles-of-2026-the-next-chapter/17935/933 "2026-09-10T10:07:41Z")
I agree. The politics part is just a symptom of the population itself, provided we assume it’s still a democracy.
Something in the water maybe.
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