Ok now it feels again like a time to sum up few things.
The index that I am looking at is "MSCI ACWI IMI Net total Return in CHF” as calculated by MSCI.
Some key pivots from 2023:
28.12.2022: 1561.78 CHF, -19.8% from ATH, +2.6% from the 30.09.2022 bottom.
30.12.2022: 1571.63 CHF, -19.3% from ATH, +3.3% from the 30.09.2022 bottom.
02.01.2023: 1574.09 CHF, -19.2% from ATH, +3.4% from the 30.09.2022 bottom, 0.2% YTD.
Banking crisis:
13.3.2023: 1574.97 CHF, -19.1% from ATH, +3.5% from the 30.09.2022 bottom, 0.2% YTD.
Maximum for 2023:
1.08.2023: 1738.95 CHF, -10.7% from ATH, +14.2% from the 30.09.2022 bottom, 10.6% YTD.
October minimum:
26.10.2023: 1599.01 CHF, -17.9% from ATH, +5.1% from the 30.09.2022 bottom, 1.7% YTD.
We went down to levels last seen in March, but not lower.
Now:
3.11.2023: 1681.7 CHF, -13.7% from ATH, +10.5% from the 30.09.2022 bottom, 7% YTD.
The recovery from the October minimum was incredibly rapid. +5.2% in 6 trading days, retracing 60% of the distance between October minimum and the maximum for 2023.
I wonder if the mood will change to the positive and there will be a Christmas rally after all.