I like Flowers too. But this is just to reinvest some of my dividends. Flowers is interesting for a new position.
I hold GIS since 2014, had a nice run, exactly the type of volatility I need for my “buy low sell high” part of my dividend strategy. Which is: “Invest dividend to a position still on buy and less than 4% of portfolio value in sequence of last buy. Sell down to 5% of portfolio value when over 6%”.
I’ll buy some today. It is not my choice, the dividend reinvestment is mechanical. 
BRK causing more turbulence for my portfolio: dumping KHC.
Yeah, they need to make space for MSTR you see now that the (pre)boomer deadweight is finally gone. Edit /s not to get misunderstood…
I have only 3 requirements regarding cash flow: OCF/Debt >0.1 (0.33), FCF > Dividend, EV/FCF < 34 (11.5). The questions answered are “Does it have reasonable low debt?”, “Can it pay the dividend without taking on more debt?” and “Is it too expensive?”.
Year and quarter numbers for Flowers OK therefor.
Regretted selling the silver miners. Bought back in today.
While we are talking consumer staples, there’s also Conagra Brands CAG. I think this has about an 8% dividend yield 
Cash flow was not OK for me for the first two quarters. Could be a seasonal problem, I would wait for next quarter and then check.
I am working on a scoreboard for my individual stock picks, rating each stock of a candidate pool on technicals, valuation, solvency, sentiment, and market mechanics. Let me know if this is of interest to anybody.
Rev growth and yf’s forward PE essentially. Some of the value indicators may better be placed in the sentiment category also… but yes, it is still an early version. Meta is another candidate that I feel is scored too high. I will refine over the next days and post progress and methodology if people are interested.
Any chance of one of those fancy graphs for Rheinmetall and also a recent IPO in the defense space (CRG, listed in Amsterdam)?
Even if (hopefully) the Russia/Ukraine war ends, Europe (Germany especially) will be investing heavily in the coming years given the Europe-US rupture.
I think, this is heavily priced in. I sold my remaining stocks last week and I am focusing more on US companies.
But as a longterm factor, RHM is definitely interesting!
With a 100x P/E ratio?
I don’t quite see that getting into reasonable territory anytime soon at current valuation..
Bloomberg Commodity Index Component Target Weights for 2026
| Group / Commodity | 2026 Target Weight (%) |
|---|---|
| Energy | |
| Brent Crude Oil | 8.36% |
| Natural Gas | 7.20% |
| WTI Crude Oil | 6.64% |
| Low Sulphur Gas Oil | 2.89% |
| ULS Diesel | 2.19% |
| RBOB Gasoline | 2.15% |
| Energy Total | 29.44% |
| Grains | |
| Corn | 5.53% |
| Soybeans | 5.36% |
| Soybean Meal | 2.93% |
| Soybean Oil | 2.82% |
| Wheat | 2.72% |
| HRW Wheat | 1.79% |
| Grains Total | 21.15% |
| Industrial Metals | |
| COMEX Copper | 6.36% |
| LME Aluminum | 3.97% |
| LME Zinc | 2.25% |
| LME Nickel | 2.23% |
| Lead | 0.95% |
| Industrial Metals Total | 15.76% |
| Precious Metals | |
| Gold | 14.90% |
| Silver | 3.94% |
| Precious Metals Total | 18.84% |
| Softs | |
| Sugar | 2.95% |
| Coffee | 2.91% |
| Cocoa | 1.71% |
| Cotton | 1.59% |
| Softs Total | 9.17% |
| Livestock | |
| Live Cattle | 3.86% |
| Lean Hogs | 1.78% |
| Livestock Total | 5.64% |
Anyone know of good ETFs to invest in the sub-groups: Industrial metals and miners, Softs, and Livestock?
Top holdings today:
A buy order triggered on NESN today moving it up above GDX.
Quite imbalanced as 7 of the top 10 stocks are resource/commodity stocks.
Of the top 20 the only stocks that are not resource stocks are either Tobacco (MO, BTI) or real estate (VICI, O) or NESN/PFE/FDS.
12 month price target by UBS is 2500 Euro and this is based on 3.5% of GDP defense spending
I believe 100 PE was 2024. Current is more around 40. Projected (2029, based on current stock price) would be around 18 which is industry avg.
I’m late to the party but am intrigued by the idea of a diversifying trade
Good idea with the top 20. Mine is not fair as the initial position in the dividend strategy is higher than the one in the momentum strategy and there are less positions. M for momentum, D for dividend strategy:
TPC is the biggest position by far, did multiply by more than 6 since first buy in 2024, double position. I am not allowed to sell because it is still on buy. I even may buy a third position if needed, my capt’n will tell me. However, I don’t like the risk involved with such big positions. But then, whenever I didn’t like something it used to be a good earner…
It’s amazing how different the portfolios can look.
Knife-catcher’s club. Just bought BAH on news govt cancelled contracts after employee leaked Trump’s tax returns:
Ah yes, one more missed opportunity for Mirager, thought to buy a year ago, obviously didn’t because “it’s already run up, it’s priced in”. Goes on to 3X…
Hi all
Any opinion here about BY6 (BYD on Frankfurt Market) ?
